Harold Hamm Says the Bakken Shale Could Produce 2 Million b/d

Harold Hamm Continental Resources
Harold Hamm Continental Resources

Harold Hamm followed reports from the NDIC that production had surpassed 900,000 b/d with a prediction that the Bakken will ultimately produce 2 million b/d.

Read more: North Dakota Reports Record Production Volumes in August 2013

His company, Continental Resources, controls over 1 million acres and produces approximately 80,000 boe/d from the Bakken.

A few other notable comments included:

  • We're 75% of the way to fully optimizing the Bakken
  • He believes our borders should be opened to oil exports
  • He doesn't expect an oil price crash. Oil is simply harder to find and produce than natural gas
  • Oil prices will remain in the $90-100 bbl range
  • The chances Keystone XL will be built are dwindling

Mr. Hamm was speaking at the Bloomberg Oil & Gas Conference held October 17, 2013 in Houston.

North Dakota Reports Record Production Volumes in August 2013

Bakken Production Chart - Goldman Sachs
Bakken Production Chart - Goldman Sachs

North Dakota oil production increased 4% from a little more than 875,000 b/d in July to more than 911,000 b/d in August. Natural gas production rose ~3% and eclipsed 1 Bcf/d for the first time.

That means North Dakota accounts for more than 15% of all the oil produced and 1.5% of all the natural gas produced in the onshore U.S.

Largest Monthly Bakken Production Increase Ever in July

Bakken production increased by more than 4% or ~35,000 b/d in in August to reach 847,000 b/d. That represents significant growth over volumes of ~638,000 b/d in August 2012 and ~379,000 b/d in August of 2011.

Other notes from the August monthly NDIC Director's Cut include:

  • 287 wells were permitted
  • 9,452 wells producing
  • Average crude oil price of ~$93/bbl in August
  • Completions fell from 251 in July to 130 in August
  • Time from spud to total depth averaged 22 days
  • Time from spud to first completion rose from 79 to 105 days
  • About 450 wells are waiting to be completed

August completion levels falling should not be alarming. July completion figures were inflated by bad weather and other completion delays in prior months.

Read the full director's cut at dmr.nd.gov

Oasis Petroleum Is Testing Bakken & Three Forks Well Spacing

Bakken & Three Forks Well Spacing Tests
Bakken & Three Forks Well Spacing Tests

Oasis Petroleum believes the company can drill four Middle Bakken and four Three Forks wells on each 1,280-acre unit, but the future might be more dense drilling than they currently suggest.

Oasis is testing up to seven wells per formation in the Bakken and the first bench of the Three Forks (TFS 1).

The company also notes that other operators are testing as many as eight wells per formation in the Middle Bakken and Three Forks 1st, 2nd, and 3rd benches.

Watch for results over the next few months to determine how many wells can be drilled in the Bakken and the Three Forks' first bench. It will probably be late next year before we know how many wells can be drilled targeting the lower Three Forks intervals.

Oasis and Continetnal Resources have the most downspacing pilots being tested, but we'll see results from Kodiak and Whiting as well.

Slawson Planning Dual Laterals in the Upper Bakken

USGS Bakken Reserves - Petroleum System Map
USGS Bakken Reserves - Petroleum System Map

Slawson Exploration has received approval to drill dual laterals targeting the Upper Bakken Shale member across several parts of North Dakota.

The company applied for field amendments allow for the drilling of multi-lateral horizontal wells in parts of McKenzie, Mountrail, and Williams counties.

The applications also gain approval for a portion of the vertical section of the wells to open into the Lodgepole formation. The opening will be used to kick off into the second lateral.

Early horizontal development in the Bakken was dominated by multi-laterals in Montana, but technical complexity has led to the use of single laterals across the state line. It will be interesting to see if Slawson determines multi-laterals are the best way to develop Bakken acreage in parts of North Dakota.

Read the full NDIC docket from August at dmr.nd.gov

Philadelphia Refinery Opens Rail Yard to Support Bakken Crude Delivery - Video

Philadephia Energy Solutions has built a state-of-the-art crude by rail unloading facility that can handle up to three unit trains. The company's two refineries south of Philadelphia, Point Breeze and Girard Point, are the largest consumers of Bakken crude. Rail receipts of 160,000 barrels arrive on a daily basis.

"Times change and if the better crudes start moving down into the Utica, we can take it by rail. If it`s in the Permian Basin, we can take it by rail," Rinaldi said. "So we`re connected everywhere and we don`t get locked in."

In total, the two refineries can process 330,000 b/d of crude oil.